As most everyone is aware, the residential real estate market here in Orange County is going through a significant correction.  Mortgage loan delinquencies and Foreclosures are at record breaking levels, with no relief in sight for the near term.  In August 9th of this year we evaluated  the number of distressed properties for sale per population for each city in south Orange County.  That report showed that the beach cities were experiencing a much lower percentage of distressed property sales, compared to the newer and lower priced inland cities of south Orange County.  On October 20th, we reported the ratio of distressed properties for sale compared to the overall number of homes for sale in south Orange County was 14%.

Here, we will examine the ratio of Distressed Properties for sale compared to ALL properties for sale for south Orange county and for each city.  A distressed property that is listed for sale is one in which the property is a Bank Owned REO, or homes still owned by a person that are in Foreclosure or are a Short Sale.  The table below  is a tabulation or our findings for this date of November 14, 2007'. 

Again the higher priced beach cities are holding up well and have a very low percentage of distressed properties for sale (less then 3%), while the inland cities have a much higher rate of 25% or more.  The overall south Orange County region has 18% of the listings which are distressed properties, compared to a ratio of 14%  in October 20th of this year.

The significantly higher distressed property listings in the inland cities is due to several factors.  Compared to the beach cities, the inland cities contain a much higher percentage of lower priced homes and condos that were purchased first time home buyers.  In order to afford the high cost of local housing, many of the first time buyers use highly leveraged financing, some of which with adjustable rate mortgages, and many of these homeowners are finding it now impossible to keep up with their mortgage payments after several interest rate reset increases.   

City
Distressed Properties for Sale
All Propeties for Sale
Ratio ( % )
Newport Coast 0 157 0.0%
Laguna Beach 4 280 1.4%
Corona Del Mar 3 142 2.1%
Newport Beach 12 536 2.2%
Dana Point 25 349 7.2%
Coto De Caza 17 162 10.5%
San Clemente 59 564 10.5%
Irvine 125 1069 11.7%
Laguna Niguel 100 520 19.2%
Ladera Ranch 73 340 21.5%
Tustin 108 479 22.5%
Mission Viejo 143 570 25.1%
San Juan Capistrano 78 310 25.2%
Aliso Viejo  110 434 25.3%
Laguna Hills 77 235 32.8%
Rancho Santa Marg. 163 496 32.9%
Lake Forest 208 567 36.7%
south Orange County 1305 7210 18.1%

On a more positive note, our statistical analysis has shown that the Inventory of homes Active for sale in south Orange County has been slowly decreasing in the past several months, while the number of homes sold In Escrow has increased slightly in the past month.  Also on a more grass roots level, we have seen numerous distressed properties priced well below market, sell within a week with multiple offers from buyers with very large cash down payments, which may be an indication that some of these bargain priced homes represent the bottom of the pricing cycle. For more information about Foreclosures and Short Sale properties, please email us at:  Info@OCShortSaleTeam.com or visit our website at:  www.OCShortSaleTeam.com